Sample data · every number is invented for design review · not a real card, not a real record

Live

Henley / Im −102 ▼ −108Bhatia / Hovland +104 ▲ +117Lowry / Kim −118 ▲ −105Henley top 10 +320 ▼ +290Fowler outright +9000 ▲ +11000Young / McNealy −114 ▲ −106Taylor / Kuchar +172 ▲ +185Scheffler outright +480 ▼ +450Thompson top 20 +170 ▼ +162Knapp / Noren +120 ▼ +112

Week 31 · Greensboro · 156-man field

Card locks in--:--:--

Wyndham Championship

Sedgefield Country Club · Greensboro, NC · Par 70, 7,131 yds · Bermuda greens

Archetype: Ross crowned · short & tight · approach-led

Edges on the board14of 3,180 priced

Best disagreement+7.9%Hovland / Bhatia 2-ball

CLV, season+2.4%412 logged bets

Wave alert

Thursday PM / Friday AM carries a 0.42 stroke advantage. Forecast has winds backing to 6 to 9 mph after 1:00 pm Thursday, with the Friday morning wave putting first-round afternoon players on soft, slow greens. Four books have not repriced a single Thursday matchup since tee times dropped. Nine of the fourteen edges below sit on this side.

The Card

6 books polled · 11s ago

PlayOurs vs theirsPriceEdgeBookConfStake

Akshay Bhatia over Viktor HovlandSteamRound 1 2-ball · PM wave edge

54.1%vs46.2%

+117▲ from +104

+7.9%

FanDuel$620
1.5u

Russell Henley over Sungjae ImTop playRound 1 2-ball · archetype fit

58.3%vs51.9%

−108▼ from −102

+6.4%

DraftKings$980
2.0u

Shane Lowry over Tom KimSteamRound 1 2-ball · PM wave edge

56.9%vs51.2%

−105▲ from −118

+5.7%

BetMGM$540
1.2u

Maverick McNealy over Cameron YoungRound 1 2-ball · distance premium suppressed

52.8%vs47.6%

+110▲ from +106

+5.2%

Hard Rock$460
1.0u

Si Woo Kim over Ben GriffinRound 1 2-ball · PM wave edge

53.4%vs48.9%

+104• from +104

+4.5%

FanDuel$400
1.0u

Nick Taylor over Matt KucharRound 1 3-ball · PM wave edge

39.1%vs35.2%

+185▲ from +172

+3.9%

BetMGM$280
0.7u

Davis Thompson over Rickie FowlerTournament matchup · approach yardage match

55.2%vs51.8%

−102▲ from −110

+3.4%

DraftKings$300
0.7u

Jake Knapp over Alex NorenRound 1 2-ball · PM wave edge

51.9%vs48.8%

+112▼ from +120

+3.1%

Hard Rock$240
0.6u

Mackenzie Hughes over Adam ScottRound 1 2-ball · PM wave edge

51.4%vs48.6%

+108• from +108

+2.8%

FanDuel$200
0.5u

Wave Watch

Thu / Fri

Thu AM · Fri PM−0.21

Thu PM · Fri AM+0.21

Expected adjusted-score edge in strokes, per player, across 36 holes. Driven by wind backing Thursday afternoon and soft Friday morning greens. Rechecked on every forecast update.

Course Fit

Archetype

Russell Henley+1.34Elite 150 to 175 approach at a course that hands out 163 yards on average. Top decile on Ross crowned greens.

Shane Lowry+1.11Around-the-green skill pays double where a miss runs 18 feet off the surface. Bermuda putting splits positive.

Akshay Bhatia+0.96Natural draw fits four of the six scoring doglegs. Distance premium suppressed here, which neutralises his gap to the bombers.

Cameron Young−0.62Distance advantage is worth least at a 7,131-yard par 70. Accuracy elasticity here is 1.8x tour average.

Closing line

Season

Average CLV, 412 bets+2.4%

Break-even sits at zero. Profit follows CLV with a long lag, so this is the number we steer by.

Ledger

Bets placed14

At risk$5,350

Largest exposureHenley · $980

Books used4

Avg edge taken+4.4%

Append-only · 14 entries sealed pre-event