Russell Henley

Sedgefield hands out a 163-yard average approach and Henley is top decile from 150 to 175. Short and tight with crowned greens is his best-scoring archetype over the last four seasons.

Our simulator has him inside the top ten in 31% of runs against a market 26%. The disagreement survives the blend at 68% market weight, which is why he is the only outright on the card.

He is the top play at two units. Confidence is four bars because the edge shows up in three independent markets, not one stray price.