Why we disagree
His natural draw fits four of the six scoring doglegs, and Sedgefield pays shot shape over speed. The distance premium here is the lowest on the summer schedule, which erases the gap between him and the bombers.
He lands in the favored Thursday PM / Friday AM wave, worth 0.42 strokes over 36 holes on the current forecast. The books have not repriced his Thursday 2-ball since tee times dropped.
Market is anchored on two missed cuts in June. Our number weighs the approach trend underneath: five straight weeks gaining on the 150 to 175 band.
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